Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.030837 0.033176 0.035516 0.038029 0.040647 0.043293 0.046164
2025-09-21 0.025939 0.029586 0.033359 0.037540 0.042026 0.046683 0.051867
2025-09-28 0.022457 0.026786 0.031379 0.036585 0.042287 0.048315 0.055139
2025-10-05 0.020984 0.025933 0.031291 0.037466 0.044336 0.051696 0.060128
2025-10-12 0.019289 0.024665 0.030595 0.037540 0.045374 0.053868 0.063703
2025-10-19 0.017763 0.023467 0.029870 0.037479 0.046172 0.055697 0.066830
2025-10-26 0.016920 0.022988 0.029903 0.038222 0.047824 0.058438 0.070936
2025-11-02 0.015855 0.022174 0.029486 0.038393 0.048779 0.060356 0.074088
2025-11-09 0.014799 0.021306 0.028952 0.038377 0.049478 0.061951 0.076847
2025-11-16 0.013835 0.020496 0.028441 0.038348 0.050125 0.063458 0.079483
2025-11-23 0.012870 0.019634 0.027823 0.038152 0.050545 0.064678 0.081767
2025-11-30 0.012007 0.018856 0.027271 0.038002 0.050990 0.065904 0.084040
2025-12-07 0.010919 0.017773 0.026348 0.037431 0.050982 0.066670 0.085873
2025-12-14 0.009932 0.016784 0.025516 0.036953 0.051083 0.067570 0.087882
2025-12-21 0.008833 0.015575 0.024347 0.036007 0.050572 0.067711 0.088972
2025-12-28 0.008565 0.015498 0.024633 0.036880 0.052278 0.070486 0.093161
2026-01-04 0.008004 0.014974 0.024306 0.036953 0.052983 0.072054 0.095915
2026-01-11 0.007434 0.014404 0.023891 0.036892 0.053505 0.073388 0.098384
2026-01-18 0.007193 0.014303 0.024098 0.037628 0.055017 0.075918 0.102281
2026-01-25 0.006770 0.013905 0.023881 0.037797 0.055807 0.077564 0.105117
2026-02-01 0.006313 0.013428 0.023537 0.037782 0.056352 0.078904 0.107579
2026-02-08 0.005883 0.012967 0.023194 0.037753 0.056867 0.080198 0.109982
2026-02-15 0.005430 0.012442 0.022741 0.037559 0.057158 0.081208 0.112033